Showing posts with label betting. Show all posts
Showing posts with label betting. Show all posts

Cry Havoc- and release the dogs of 2009 College Football Season


Who will be next years Urban Meyer? Do the Gators have a chance at 3 titles in half a decade? Will the return of the "Awe-Schucks Kid from Tuscola" mean that Tex-ass will win it all?

The all-knowing, all-seeing Vegas oddsmakers have put out their odds for who will win the National Championship in the 2009 season. A couple of their odds make sense, Texas, USC, Oklahoma and The Gators are all up there pretty high. But a couple of these odds don't make any sense at all. Georgia, Miami and LSU are ahead of Bama, are they serious. Bama's returning their entire defense and John Parker Wilson is graduating. Bama might not come within twenty points of a loss all year.

But the biggest disappointment of all is that they think that Michigan has the same chance of winning the National Championship as Oklahoma State and California. Did they watch a Michigan game this year. Who the Hell do they think will QB the Wolverines into a National Championship.

Nudgette Denise Milani doing the college football crawl, Nudgette-Style


Nudgette Michele Baker, living in the lap of luxury, Nudge-Style

Here are the odds for next years season, just put out in Vegas.

Source CNNSI

Top Five:

1)USC 4-to-1, 2)Florida 5-1, 3)Oklahoma 7-1, 4)Texas 8-1, 5)Ohio State 9-1,

15-1:

Florida State 15-1, Virginia Tech 15-1,

20-1:

Georgia 20-1, Miami ( Fla ) 20-1, LSU 20-1,

25-1:

Alabama 25-1,Notre Dame 25-1,

30-1:

Oregon 30-1, Penn State 30-1, Texas Tech 30-1,

40-1:

Nebraska 40-1, Georgia Tech 40-1, North Carolina 40-1, West Virginia 40-1,

50-1:

Illinois 50-1, Tennessee 50-1,

60-1:

Oklahoma State 60-1, Missouri 60-1, Utah 60-1, California 60-1, Wisconsin 60-1, Michigan 60-1,

75-1:

Iowa 75-1, Kansas 75-1, South Carolina 75-1

100-1:

TCU 100-1, Arkansas 100-1Michigan State 100-1Cincinnati 100-1Boston College 100-1

There are so many different things wrong with these odds, I almost have to ask if there legitimate. First off, two glaring odds jump right off the paper at you:

1) Alabama is a 25 to one shot along with Notre Dame, er what? Notre friggin Dame has the same odds at winning the National Championship as the team that was ranked number one throughout most of the year and returns almost every single player on defense, and a crushing amount of talent on offense. Yes- new QB, I get it. But I guarantee that McElroy will be a thousand times better than Parker Wilson. ND was lucky to go 6-6 this year. This just goes to show you that individuals involved in college football, specifically journalism, don't know what the ---- they are talking about. These two teams are basically even odds going into next year because ND had an impressive win over Hawaii and Bama lost to Utah. I have got some news for you, win or lose, both teams were going to return the same team next year. But if ND had lost to Hawaii and Bama had beaten Utah, Bama would be 5 to 1 to win the NC and Notre Dame would be like a zillion to one shot. It just doesn't make any sense.

2) This I cannot believe. Michigan is a 60 to 1 shot at winning the National Championship. What the F*&%$? The real odds are ten million to one that Michigan wins 8 games, let alone a National Championship. Who exactly is going to take the snaps behind center that makes UM a 60 to 1 shot Nick Sheridan, Steven Threet or Tate Forcier?

Do you want the real odds, more importantly, do you want to use these odds to make some cheddar in The Patented Nudge System? See, who says the off-season can't be fun. All right, let's make some cheddar.

500 Points on: Bama at 25-1 and Penn State at 30-1

400 Points on: USC at 4-1 and slOhio St at 9-1

300 Points on: Florida State at 15-1

200 Points on: Texas at 8-1

Mark this page and keep it in your favorites. I guarantee that come January 9, 2010 this info will be a money maker. But not only that, these are the only teams that will be competing for a NC next year.

Jump on the line at 7, and since when is Kurt Warner's wife hot

The Woodley Factor will play the key role in Pittsburgh covering in the Super Bowl.

But Nudge, we thought that you don't watch the No Fun League, yes and no. Since the end of college football, The Nudge has been paying careful attention to the playoffs, and maybe I'm a little biased cause I have been following this kid since he's in eleventh grade, but super five star recruit Lamar Woodley has been on fire lately.

The Nudge is predicting that the Woodley Factor is going to be the key in the Super Bowl, and that the line is going to move up at least two points. That's right, come game time, with all the money being thrown Pitt's way, Vegas will move the line up to Nine Points. If you lay your action now on Pitt, you can get in at seven. If your going against The Nudge in this one, hold off on making your play, the line can only move in your favor.

See, here's the thing. Zona is competent. And until now, they've been very lucky. They've been able to take the ball away, and absolutely no one is able to cover Larry Fitzgerald (Nudge HOF). But the important factor to consider when making a play on this one is that Zona has not faced a defense like Pittsburgh. Pitt will stuff Fitzgerald at the line and run complicated blitz packages with Woodley coming off of the edge. After getting hit five or six times, Kurt Warner will revert back to the second stringer on the 2004 Giants instead of the 90's MVP'er that he looks like now.
Triplets seperated at birth, Jimmy The Emu, Alice The Maid and Brenda Warner

Speaking of Kurt Warner, all anyone on the Internet has been talking about is the transformation of his wife Brenda from a Butch-Spiked Haircut Marine into a blond Piece-A-Azz



90's Version and today's blond look
There's far too many stories out there about Brenda's makeover so here are just a few of em. HERE, HERE, and the always great Busted Coverage.

Angry-G's Weekend Picks


Angy-G has been living large this football season

As you can see from these photo's of Angry-G's after parties, the guy has been pretty successful so far this season. He has assured The Nudge that his picks for the NFL Conference Championship games are as good as gold.
In the AFC Championship, Angry-G isn't buying the hype that everyone is talking about. He thinks Delawares own Joey (I couldn't beat out Tyler Palko so I transferred, but who's laughing now Dave Wannstedt) Flacco has enough juice to pull out the upset, or at least cover. He's rolling with Balti-MORE getting a whopping 6 points.




In the NFC, Angry-G is rolling with Northern Iowa's own stock-boy extraordinaire, Kurt Warner. The Philly secondary can't sleep on my main man Larry Fitzgerald or FSU's QB prospect Anquin Boldin ( I still think the kid was better at QB than WR, but what do I know). The Card's are getting 4 playing at home, ROLL Phoenix baby.



That's it. Enjoy it Nudgies, it just doesn't get any better than hanging with Angry-G when he's on a roll. WHEEEWWW




More photos to enjoy here!

Who's your Daddy Biyatch

The Nudge's last pick of the season

I have to say it, this Holiday bowl season has gone a lot better than even I expected, and I'm an out and out braggart. So far I've hit on five, count'em, five FIVE STAR picks throughout. Now that might not be too good, except I only picked five FIVE STAR games. That equals out to over one hundred percent baby!

By special request, Iranian Nudgette Sarah Shahi, The Nudge is international baby

So rolling into tonights big game with Urban Meyer's Gators giving 4 points, I've held out putting my pick up until now.

The big question mark for the past few weeks has been what is the status of Percy Harvin's bum ankle. So far reports coming out of Florida has put Percy at 90%. I think that not only will he be healthy, but he's going to be a factor. Meyer is not going to give him the ball that much to begin the game. If anything, he'll be used as a decoy on a couple of end arounds. Percy knows that he's not going to get a touch that often so he needs to make the best out of each and every one.

Who's your Ayatollah, Nudgy
The Nudge has been rolling with the Gators ever since that Timmy Tebow press conference after the Ole Miss loss. That combined with the Time Outs in the Gawgia game marked the two biggest highlights of the year for me.
There's no question about it, with the almost loss by Mizzoo to a weak Big Ten opponent and the almost loss by Tex-Ass to a weak slOhio State and the loss by Tex-Ass Tech to the upsurging Ole Miss- The Big Twelve is weak.
I know, in the SEC Bama and the GameCocks lost, but gawgia and The Hat looked pretty damn good. Add Ole Miss in the mix and you really got something for that conference. Comparing the two is apples and oranges, I don't care what anyone says. The SEC and the Pac-10 are way above the Big Twelve and Big Ten. It's like comparing the MAC and Conference USA to the Sun Belt.
Tebow's bringing Sexy Back

The Stiff Arm winner Jason White... errr Sammy Bradford has been all giggles and smiles. Ever since he won the award, all of a sudden he's a hero and a top five NFL pick, while Tebow's forced to listen how everyone thinks he'll be an H-Back up in the big show. The toughest D that Bradford's faced all year is Washington.

You heard it here first, the Oklahoma Sooners are going to bite on the fake option shuffle pass to Aaron Hernandez. That play is going to be good for six.

Chip on his shoulders Timmy Tebow is going to be good for 200 yards passing with three passing TD's and 100 yards rushing with one rushing TD. Look for Jeff Demps to have a big game and Chris Rainey to make a break for it. So the last FIVE STAR pick of the season is........
If you ain't a Gator, your Gator bait

Take Urban, Tebow, The Circus, the kitchen sink, the neighbors oven, your tuition savings, your car payment, diaper fund, IRA, Grandma's secret stash, Leprechauns Pot of Gold at the End of the Rainbow and anything else that isn't nailed down........and enjoy. It's all about fun, isn't it.

This season has been a blast and I sincerely thank each and every one of you for sharing it with me. I've been able to convert a couple of people over to college football in the past three months and that's better than anything.

I got to go down to the Urban Meyer Headquarters and rig the votes so that he doesn't have to share anything with his old Utes.

See Ya sports fans!

Let The Nudgery Continue

She works at a Deli, seriously, I'm not kidding


The Nudge covered big today with my four star Rice pick. Chase Clement to Jarret Dillard was just too much for the Broncos of Western Michigan to handle. If Rice keeps improving with their defense, they should start building a program that could compete, but that's a big if. Next year with them losing the two best players in the history of their school, their offense migt not get going for a while. Watch out for The Nudge picks going against them early and often next year. I lost on a 2 star game with NC State losing by 6 to Rutgers. I know this sounds like a broken record, but you can't predict big injuries to big players in a game. While NC State Qb Russell Wilson was in the game, NC State was moving the ball. Before the end of the second half, he suffered a knee injury and O'Brien brought in Daniel Evans, the guy who started the season at QB and was horrible. Evans used to be effective a couple of years ago, but he has never caught on to the O'Brien spread attack. ANYWHOSE. Loss


The Nudge told you that Pat Fitzgerald would have his team fired up and that the game would be closer than most of the pundits thought. The Nudge still had Mizzoo as a four star pick with Mizzoo giving 10 and a nudge. Loss Mark my words, if there's one coach in all college football whose job is safe, outside of Pete Carroll, it's Fitzgerald. He's got the backing of the entire school and student body behind him and he has the Northwestern program heading in a great direction. Look for the Cats to cover a couple of times next year.


The Nudge covered in a big way Honey with the Maryland Terps 2* and Rice 4*, and at press time it looks like giving the ball to LaGarrette Blount in the fourth quarter is really looking good for the Ducks of Eugene 2* pick. Cover. There's still alot of football to play, but the sands of time are running out for the season, so without further ado, let's go to the Nudge Picks

Sands of time never run out for Megan Fox


Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl, Fort Worth, Tex-ass: How-Stun giving 3 and a nudge to The Mighty Falcons of the Air.

This is finally a national stage for Kevin Sumlin and his resurgent How-Stun team. QB "Come out of nowhere" Case Keenum has been lighting up the scoreboard out of the spread throw first offense. So far this year, he's thrown for 4,768 yards with 41 TD's. In the past four games he's thrown 402 yards, 480 yards and 494 yards in their loss to Rice. Easy pick How-Stun right? Not so fast. The Mighty Falcons of the Air have posted a quiet 8-4 record with their four losses coming at the hands of a fired up Navy team, a BCS Buster Utah, the best TCU team I ever saw and score-a-minute BYU. If your going to look for how this team played against similiar offenses, I think the BYU game is your best point of reference. And that game was close. Look for the maturity level of the Air Force Academy Cadets to be the deciding factor in this one. I'm rolling with the F-15's because "That's what Tom Cruise would do." Air Force 1* Take the over at 64, 3* Loss, Loss 1*, 3*


Brut Sun Bowl, El Paso, Tex-Ass: Oregon State giving 2 and a nudge against LeSean McCoy.

This one comes down simply to two players, Quizzz and LeSean. I think LeSean sets El Paso on fire. Easily gets 200 yards rushing to set the stage for a campaign run at The Stiff Arm next year. Pitt has been playing gritty knock out your front teeth, push back, way back offense for the past couple of weeks now. The Nudge was very impressed with them in the loss to the BearClaws and their wins against Pat White and a good UCONN team. Knock'em in the grill McCoy, big numbers. 2* Push


Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl, Nashville Ten-I-See: BC giving 3 and a nudge to Vandy

At first, I thought, BC and their robotic like move you down the field offense is going to win over a real over rated Vandy squad. Again, I changed my mind, I have to stop doing that. Since telling everyone that the ranked Vandy squad was the most overrated team in history, they've lost six out of their last seven games and haven't competed too well. Mr. Bama football Chris Nickson went down with an injury and Mackenzie Adams stepped in at QB. Look for do-everything Vandy CB DJ Moore to really have a big impact in this one. So why am I rolling with Vandy against all of my intuitions. BC is starting Frosh QB Dominique Davis down in Nashville. This is defenitely a de-Facto home game for the Commodores and Davis, although possesing tremendous athletic ability, will be affected by the crowd. Vandy has to jump on him early and cause some turnovers. BC is going to look to run the ball straight at them, Vandy will stack the line and force Davis to pass, when he does, he'll probably hit Moore a couple of times. The pick is Vandy 1*. But Davis does have tremendous upside, and can be a real factor next year. Cover 1*

The Annual Nudgette Lingerie Show was really a big hit


Insight Bowl, Tempe, Zona: Mangino's Man-Size Appetite giving 9 To Tha Gopha's

You broke my hear Mangin-ious. You lost 4 of your last 6 games. Kansas RB Jake Sharp #1 is going to be the big factor in this game. If they can establish the run early, that will set up the spread version of the play action, that will be Reesing hitting Meier for ten yards per catch. The Gopha's are over rated, sorry. When they faced tough competition they folded like a wet blanket. The JayHawks are a much better team then their record indicates. Reesing is for real, and if your not pulling for him then your down right Un-American. Big Spread, but the JayHawks win this one by 20 points, no problem. Reesing and a FIVE STAR, Cover with the Five Star



Chick Fil A Bowl, Atlanta, Gawgia: Gawgia Tech giving 4 to The Hat.

Everyone and their Mutha is picking Tech to win outright. De-Facto home game, and the crowd will be a huge factor. Head Coach extraordinnaire Paul Johnson has done a down right fantastic job at Tech in his first year. When he went there, I knew that Josh Nesbitt would be a perfect fit in his scheme. In this game, watch beast running back Jonathon Dwyer on the full back dive. He'll be good for 5 yards per in this game. The big factor is going to be Nesbitt hitting Demaryius Thomas when LSU puts nine guys in the box to stop the run. There is a catch and a "Not SO Fast" in this one though. The reason Johnson's wing option is able to be so effective is that other teams don't face it all year and only have one week to prep their defense on the reads. LSU has had a month to focus solely on this. AND that's big, very big. The reason why Tech will win is because LSU will not get consistent play out of their QB, whoever they decide to play at any given moment. Next year, Russell Shepard starts there from Day 1 and they're a different team. This one is closer than people think! Tech 1* Loss


Alway's Great Outback Bowl, Tampa, FL: Iowa giving 4 to The Visor

I need to stop everyone from sucking off Shon Greene for a second. The reason why he was able to get sooo many yards is 1) they have no passing attack and he was the only one who could move the ball 2) he got all those yards against Purdue, Wiscy and Florida International for Christ's sake. If the guy played in the SEC, you would never had heard of him. And guess what, The Visor plays in the SEC. And not only that, he has the best defense in that conference of great defenses. Stop with all the Shonn Greene *&*%. Jasper Brinkley is the man. He will control the game. The Visor is going to run the ball down the BlackEye's throats till it hurts. Visor 3* Loss



Your secrets safe with us Nudge, we won't tell!


The Gator Bowl, Jacksonville, FL: Clemson giving 2 and a nudge to The Huskers

The Nudge flat out loves Bo Pellini. There, I said it. I love the man. Real football is back in Nebraska and everything is right with the world. Dabo Sweeney has a lot of firepower on that Clemson team, but I think the BlackShirts will lay the pipe. Look for Braska to run the ball right at Clemson and try and play keep away. I love this match up and this game, for observation purposes. For choosing who will cover, that's another matter all togethar. With a month off, does Clemson put it all togethar? Does Spiller and Davis break out of a cocoon just in time for the NFL Scouts? I don't know. Too many questions to really call this game. I'm going with BO, 1* Cover


Capital One Bowl, Disney, FL: Richt's Bulldogs giving 7 and a nudge to Dantonio's Spartans

Dantonio's Spartans are a one-trick pony. Stop Superman, and you win the game. I love that everyone's number one NFL Pick Four Weeks Ago Mathew Stafford is playing for a chance to play for the Detroit Lions in this one. For years everyone has been saying that this guy has number one pick written all over him. Now, because Stoops let Bradford play til the end of every game and they played in the no-defense Big Twelve, Bradford is all of a sudden a better pro prospect. Come on. Stafford lights this one up. FIVE STAR pick. Roll Dawgs Cover on another Five Star Pick



Nudgette Holly Vance wishing you a happy Rose Bowl


The Grand Daddy of EM ALL, ROSE BOWL: Mighty Men of Troy giving 9 to the JoePa's

A lot of movement in this line, going JoePa's way. It started out at 10 and a nudge, and has dropped a full point and a nudge. Why, because while everyone was saying how USC is going to destory the lowly Big Ten Champs, the smart money was funnelling it away on the high spread. I've always liked the JoePa's in this one. With USC FB Stanley Havili ruled academically ineligible in this one, I like it even more. Why, you might ask will a FB who only had 324 yards receiving be so missed? Because Havili has been the one to make big plays out of the backfield and keep USC in the games where the whole team has fallen asleep. The guy is Dirty Sanchez's safety outlet, and he's needed him a lot this year. The JoePa's are a good solid team. Outside of a few minutes in that Iowa game, they would be playing for a National Championship against Florida. In that game they would only be underdogs by 6 points. So why has everyone forgotten about them, and think that they can't win this one. Because their not a "SEXY" team. The SpreadHD(tm) offense is just plain solid, no award winners there. And their Defense really earns the phrase "They bring their lunch pails to the game." USC, in their game against UCLA, showed that this team can fall asleep. I know they have the number 1 defense in the country, but Penn State has the Number 8 D. This is really going to be a good game, and a good game equals a close game, and the number is too high not to jump on the JoePa's. 1*



FEDEX Orange Bowl, Miami: B-Kell's BearClaw's giving 2 to BeamerBall

VaTech has to win this one. The way the team has focused on this game, and the stories I have been hearing about how this team has been practising since they got to Miami has said a lot. I love the Beamers in this one. B-Kell and the boys are happy to be in a BCS Bowl. The Hokies must win. Next year, B-Kell will win a BCS Bowl, not this one. FIVE STAR PICK.


Bowl Record so far (notice it's back on the bottom): 13-6 overall, 1*5-2, 2* 3-2, 3*2-0, 4*2-3, 5* 1-0.


That's it, I got to go and join my one man band in a new song we're writing about Tim Tebow's biceps. See Ya sports fans!

Nudge College Bowl Picks of the Day


Since my disastrous Notre Dame pick and my meltdown of losing four bowl picks in a row, The Nudge has posted back to back to back to back wins for the second consecutive time in the last two weeks. Coming into Monday, there are two very surprisingly good bowl match ups that have kind of been hidden out there.

The PapaJohns Bowl, Bama; This game pits a resurgent Rutgers squad led by fourth year Senior Starter Mike Teel and Mr. New Jersey Football Running Back Joe Martinek against Tommy O'Brien's Wolfpack from North Carolina State. The Wolfpack have really played well down the stretch this season. They started out pretty poorly, but ever since they have found Russell Wilson, they've been covering like syrup on flapjacks.

The Nudge has lost out on my last four picks going against NC State in which they have won outright. And I have won on Rutgers last four games in which they've covered, ever since their big win against PITT. Since that win, Rutgers has beaten a South Florida team that imploded, Army, Syracuse and a horrible embarrassing Louisville team. NC State however, since Wilson took over has beaten a very good Thug-Deep Tar Heels team, A Thug-Deep Miami Team, Wake and Duke. In this one, I'm rollin with Tha Ghost Faced Thug Killas, take Irish Tommy O'Brien and the 4 and a nudge their getting. 2*









He's right, its really not all about the rattlesnake wiggles and Mississippi Bow Ties

Valero Alamo Bowl, San Antonio Tex-ass.
This game is putting two teams together that both run the spread em out offense. Northwestern runs a little bit more than Mizzoo, but both offensive sets are the same. In this game, what can you say about the job Northwestern HC Pat Fitzgerald has done. The Nudge remembers the days when Pat was bringing the Cats to the Rose Bowl while he was out on the field. Northwestern gets their super RB Tyrell Sutton back after he went down from an injury in mid season in the Indiana game. He might be a factor in this one.
Everyone and their mother is picking Mizzoo giving 10 and a nudge. At first glance, I had this game as a FIVE STAR pick going towards Mizzoo, but after seeing the Jacorry "Stringbean" Harris throw the ball against Cal's top rated pass defense the other night, it's official "Anything Can Happen."
This really should be a great game to watch, and I'm a little surprised that they put it on Monday Night. My guess is that whoever scheduled it thinks that a large bar crowd will be out watching this because there's no Monday Night Football, I disagree. This game should be played on a Saturday, either last one or next one.
Last time I changed my pick from a FIVE STAR play, it blew up in my face with the Notre Dame game. I'm still going to stick with Mizzoo. The Cats can not hang with Maclin and Coffman. Don't forget about Mizzo RB Derrick Washington. He's averaging 6 yards per carry and has 17 TD's. Take Mizzoo, even though the Big Twelve South and North are over rated this year. 4*
The Nudge covered with a 2* Thug Life getting 1 and a nudge at Pat White, a 3* with Christian Ponder and the Homies laying a brick to Wiscy, a FIVE STAR with Cal giving 6 to Miami (Hey, I gave out the pick early, if you didn't jump on it when it came out, shame on you, you didn't cover), and a 1* with Louisiana Tech.
Totals for the Bowl Nudgerama: 10-4 overall, 1* 4-2, 2* 2-0, 3* 2-0, 4* 1-2 and 5* 1-0
That's it, enjoy, I have to go soundproof the NudgeBunker a little better. Too many rugrats running around. See Ya sports fans!

Jimmy The Emu

Jimmy "The Emu" pulled through and thoroughly destroyed The Nudge's Ego



The Nudge had Notre Dame as not only a Five Star pick, but amazingly I predicted that Notre Dame QB Jimmy "The Emu" Clausen would throw for five TD's. Can you believe that, I actually predicted the number of passing TD's that he would throw. There's only one problem. Prior to the game kicking off, The Nudge got cold feet and actually went against his instinct and completely changed his pick. I was thoroughly distraught. But ND looked good playing against The Warriors at home. Their secondary looked like they fell asleep in the first five minutes of the game and never woke up. The FrontButt pulled it of, it was a must win for him, I will give him credit where it is due.

I have to tell you, this Fighting Irish team is young, real young. If they could put together a performance like that again next year, and The Nudge is thinking that they can, their going to have at least 9 wins and go to a pretty good bowl game in 2010. Even though my original pick was a Five Star play for ND to cover, fair is fair. And shame on me for thinking that the Haywood move would play a detrimental role in the game. So far for the bowl season, The Nudge missed on the TCU cover by two measly points and on the one star, stay away play on Hawaii. Bringing the total to bowl season as being 6 covers, 2 losses (a one star and a two star) no biggy. Look out for The Nudge's weekend bowl picks. Outside of the West Virginia game, the rest are locks. FSU (three star play) is going to trounce. So I'll leave you off with some photos of the Nudgettes of Tallahassee. Enjoy. Stay classy Nudgites.

We're gonna cover, in a big way Honey!

You think Christian Ponder is getting any of this grade-A Nudgette?


Gratuitous USC Cheerleader photo, Go Trojans!

I got cold feet- &%it happens

The Nudge Seriously Downgrades The Notre Dame Pick

The recent hiring by Miami of Ohio of Notre Dame offensive coordinator Mike Haywood for Head Coach has gotten The Nudge to seriously reconsider his FIVE STAR pick of Notre Dame winning in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve.

The Nudge has a rule in the wisdom of Nudgedom; if there is even the slightest of doubt about a pick, it can be in no way shape or form a FIVE STAR play. And I am starting to have serious doubts about this game. Mike Haywood is a former Notre Dame player, he's worked at Texas and LSU and finally got his dream job of coaching at Notre Dame. In the beginning of the year, The FrontButt told Mike he would be calling the plays for the offense all season long. As the season started to crumble and The FrontButt got nervous about his firing being right around the corner, The FrontButt took over the playcalling. And we all saw how good that went, they lost to Syracuse and got walloped by USC.

Now with Haywood with one foot out the door, I have to question just how much effort he's been able to put into the offensive scheme for the Bowl game. He was interviewing for jobs and structuring a contract with Miami, OH., and it must have taken time away from game planning.

For some reason, I have visions of Jimmy Clausen surfboarding and hitting on Hawaiian girls right now without a care in the world about what the game is going to be like.

So The Nudge started looking at Hawaii defensive stats for home games alone. The team doesn't travel well this year. I took the BearClaws game out of the equation, due to the fact that B-Kell's boys were a far superior team than Notre Dame or the Warriors and that game was a little off anyway cause the BearClaws had already locked down a BCS Bowl and conference championship.

For the year, Hawaii's defense is ranked 71 overall averaging giving up 27 points per game. But at home, with a 5-1 (No Cincy) record, they are averaging giving up only 18 points per game. In the Nevada win, they held Colin Kaepernick to 173 yards passing. In the New Mexico (there's a new mexico) they did allow Chase Holbrook to throw for almost 400 yards.

Since Hawaii QB Greg Alexander became the starter 6 games ago, the Warriors have gone 4-2, counting the Cincy loss. So effectively, they've gone 4-1 in their last 5 games without the Cincy loss. He's thrown for 1550 yards with 12 TD's.

There has also been major line movement in the spread in this game. Hawaii started out as the favorite giving 1 and a nudge. Now their the dog getting 1 and a nudge. That means that most of the plays in this one are heading towards ND to win outright. This ordinarily would be a good sign for The Nudge, this is what you look for. But I still can't get over the very low confidence I now have in Weiss. I'm officially calling this a stay away play. Don't go either way. But I have to make a pick so here it goes. My new pick in this one is now Hawaii 1* and may God have mercy on us all. For the record, The Nudge has never done an about face of this magnitude in the history of Nudgery.

The over/under in this one is 48, I would go under. 1*

Now since you suffered through the photo of The FrontButt enjoying his summer vacation doing some yard work, I'll leave you off with the destined to be Nudgette of the week, Azzurri Nudgette Elisabetta Gregoraci, enjoy. Ciao sportza fanza!

SSHH, don't tell anyone The Nudge changed his pick

Wake just ain't about graduating

Wake Forest pulls off a nice win against a good Navy team

New Nudgette of the week Emmanuelle Chriqui from Entourage likes the way Jim Grobe's Deacons pulled off the cover


The Nudge covered on his first two picks of the bowl season with a 2 duchess pick on Wake to cover and a 3 Duchess pick on the over at 41. Handicapping legend Rossi called the game the right way too.

The first half of the game saw Navy coming to a quick 13 point lead and it looked like the Midshipmen would be running away with this game.




The key to Wake pulling this off was Riley Skinner's ability to stay away from the rush and buy some time in the pocket. On a couple of third and long plays, he side stepped the rush and found open receivers who had dropped behind Navy's zone playinf defenders.

Nice clock management by Navy's HC with 36 seconds left. I know he's going to take some heat for trying to kick the field goal on second down (and missing it, effectively ending the game). But The Nudge actually thought it was a good move. Navy has shown this season that they are able to kick the on side kick and recover. If Navy does hit the field goal, and recover the onside kick, they would have about twenty seconds left to try and put the ball into the endzone, it's a good move.

so far the bowl picks are 2* 1-0, 3* 1-0

On to the New Mexico Bowl, should be a good one.

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